NY-15 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 60-65%" at 30.5% on "NY-15 House Election Margin of Victory". $189 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 60-65%
–31%
PoliticsVol $189Total volume $10KLiquidity $154Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 60-65%
30.5%
–
Democrat 65-70%
25.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 55-60%
16.5%
▼4.0
Democrat 70-75%
14.5%
–
Democrat 75%+
6.85%
▲0.5
Democrat 50-55%
6.15%
–
Democrat 35-45%
3.45%
–
Democrat 0-35%
3.45%
▼1.8
Democrat 45-50%
1.90%
▲1.5
Republican Wins
0.50%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 70-75%
Democrat 75%+
Democrat 50-55%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
