NY-17 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Cait Conley (D)" at 56.5% on "NY-17 House Election Winner". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. $1.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Cait Conley (D)
▼2.056%
PoliticsVol $1.6KTotal volume $59KLiquidity $151Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Cait Conley (D)
56.5%
▼2.0
Mike Lawler (R)
41.5%
▲1.5

Probability over time

Cait Conley (D)
Mike Lawler (R)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.