NY-17 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 6-9%" at 21.5% on "NY-17 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $1 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 6-9%
▲0.522%
PoliticsVol $1Total volume $11KLiquidity $110Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 6-9%
21.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 3-6%
19.0%
–
Democrat 9-12%
18.0%
▲1.0
Democrat 0-3%
16.0%
▼0.5
Republican 0-3%
14.8%
▲3.8
Republican 3-6%
6.00%
▲0.5
Democrat 12%+
5.00%
–
Republican 12%+
4.20%
–
Republican 9-12%
2.05%
–
Republican 6-9%
1.55%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 6-9%
Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 9-12%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 0-3%
Republican 3-6%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
