NY-18 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Pat Ryan (D)" at 95.9% on "NY-18 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. $31 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Pat Ryan (D)
–96%
PoliticsVol $31Total volume $45KLiquidity $40Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Pat Ryan (D)
95.9%
–
Jacqueline Auringer (R)
4.30%
–
Probability over time
Pat Ryan (D)
Jacqueline Auringer (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
