NY-18 House Election Margin of Victory
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▼0.533%
PoliticsVol $178Total volume $231Liquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
33.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 35%+
32.0%
▼5.0
Democrat 15-20%
31.5%
▼8.0
Democrat 10-15%
30.0%
▼2.5
Democrat 25-30%
27.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 30-35%
26.0%
▼10.5
Democrat 5-10%
24.5%
▼1.5
Democrat 0-5%
24.5%
▼10.0
Republican Wins
6.00%
▲1.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
