NY-19 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Josh Riley (D)" at 98.8% on "NY-19 House Election Winner". $438 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Josh Riley (D)
–99%
PoliticsVol $438Total volume $35KLiquidity $63Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Josh Riley (D)
98.8%
–
Peter Oberacker (R)
0.20%
–
Probability over time
Josh Riley (D)
Peter Oberacker (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
