NY-19 House Election Margin of Victory
Most likely right now
Democrat 9-12%
▲4.535%
PoliticsVol $140Total volume $264Liquidity $781in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 9-12%
35.0%
▲4.5
Democrat 0-3%
34.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 18-21%
33.0%
▲1.5
Democrat 15-18%
29.0%
▼7.5
Democrat 3-6%
29.0%
▼4.0
Democrat 21%+
28.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 6-9%
28.5%
▼2.0
Republican 3%+
5.50%
▼0.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
