NY-19 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 21%+" at 18.0% on "NY-19 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $4 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 21%+
▲1.518%
PoliticsVol $4Total volume $9.9KLiquidity $143Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 21%+
18.0%
▲1.5
Democrat 15-18%
17.8%
–
Democrat 12-15%
15.0%
▼2.5
Democrat 9-12%
13.5%
▼6.0
Democrat 18-21%
11.9%
–
Democrat 6-9%
4.55%
–
Democrat 0-3%
4.45%
▲1.4
Democrat 3-6%
3.00%
–
Republican 0-3%
1.05%
–
Republican 3%+
0.60%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 21%+
Democrat 15-18%
Democrat 12-15%
Democrat 9-12%
Democrat 18-21%
Democrat 6-9%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
