NY-20 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Paul Tonko (D)" at 97.0% on "NY-20 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Paul Tonko (D)
–97%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $47KLiquidity $50Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Paul Tonko (D)
97.0%
–
Ralph Ambrosio (R)
3.15%
–
Probability over time
Paul Tonko (D)
Ralph Ambrosio (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
