NY-21 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Anthony Constantino (R)" at 70.5% on "NY-21 House Election Winner". Down 11.0%p from yesterday. $11K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Anthony Constantino (R)
▼11.071%
PoliticsVol $11KTotal volume $84KLiquidity $140Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Anthony Constantino (R)
70.5%
▼11.0
Blake Gendebien (D)
29.5%
▲11.0
Probability over time
Anthony Constantino (R)
Blake Gendebien (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
