NY-21 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 6-9%" at 25.0% on "NY-21 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. $871 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 6-9%
▼2.025%
PoliticsVol $871Total volume $5.3KLiquidity $93Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 6-9%
25.0%
▼2.0
Republican 3-6%
19.5%
▲3.0
Republican 0-3%
13.5%
▲1.5
Democrat 3%+
12.5%
–
Democrat 0-3%
6.00%
–
Republican 12-15%
5.20%
–
Republican 21%+
4.50%
▼5.3
Republican 18-21%
4.05%
▲1.3
Republican 9-12%
3.50%
–
Republican 15-18%
2.05%
–
Probability over time
Republican 6-9%
Republican 3-6%
Republican 0-3%
Democrat 3%+
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 12-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
