NY-22 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "John Mannion (D)" at 93.5% on "NY-22 House Election Winner". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
John Mannion (D)
–94%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $24KLiquidity $75Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
John Mannion (D)
93.5%
–
Kailee Buller (R)
5.50%
–
Probability over time
John Mannion (D)
Kailee Buller (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
