NY-22 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 10-15%" at 30.5% on "NY-22 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 4.5%p from yesterday. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 10-15%
▼4.531%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $36Liquidity $933in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 10-15%
30.5%
▼4.5
Democrat 0-5%
27.5%
▼4.0
Democrat 30%+
27.0%
▲6.0
Democrat 5-10%
23.0%
▼9.0
Republican Wins
21.0%
▲15.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
