NY-22 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 27.5% on "NY-22 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 7.0%p from yesterday. $590 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
▼7.028%
PoliticsVol $590Total volume $13KLiquidity $143Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
27.5%
▼7.0
Democrat 15-20%
27.5%
▲5.0
Democrat 20-25%
24.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 10-15%
16.0%
▲3.5
Democrat 30%+
7.85%
–
Democrat 5-10%
3.35%
▼1.4
Democrat 0-5%
1.65%
–
Republican Wins
0.50%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 30%+
Democrat 5-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
