NY-24 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Claudia Tenney (R)" at 95.5% on "NY-24 House Election Winner". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Claudia Tenney (R)
–96%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $24KLiquidity $34Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Claudia Tenney (R)
95.5%
–
Alissa Ellman (D)
4.60%
–

Probability over time

Claudia Tenney (R)
Alissa Ellman (D)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.