NY-24 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 26.5% on "NY-24 House Election Margin of Victory". $314 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
–27%
PoliticsVol $314Total volume $12KLiquidity $114Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
26.5%
–
Republican 20-25%
23.0%
▲6.0
Republican 10-15%
22.5%
▲6.5
Republican 5-10%
16.1%
▲11.5
Republican 25-30%
15.5%
▼1.0
Republican 30-35%
13.0%
–
Republican 35%+
6.60%
▲1.2
Republican 0-5%
3.05%
–
Democrat Wins
2.40%
–
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30-35%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
