NY-25 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Joseph Morelle (D)" at 97.4% on "NY-25 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Joseph Morelle (D)
–97%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $42KLiquidity $41Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Joseph Morelle (D)
97.4%
–
Virginia McIntyre (R)
2.10%
–
Probability over time
Joseph Morelle (D)
Virginia McIntyre (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
