NY-25 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30-35%" at 28.2% on "NY-25 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.1%p from yesterday. $99 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 30-35%
▼1.128%
PoliticsVol $99Total volume $10KLiquidity $136Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 30-35%
28.2%
▼1.1
Democrat 25-30%
21.5%
–
Democrat 35-40%
15.3%
▼4.5
Democrat 40-45%
7.70%
▲0.5
Democrat 20-25%
6.90%
–
Democrat 15-20%
3.30%
–
Democrat 45%+
1.95%
▼0.7
Democrat 5-15%
1.50%
▲1.4
Republican Wins
0.60%
–
Democrat 0-5%
0.20%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
