NY-26 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 35.5% on "NY-26 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 4.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
▼4.536%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $512Liquidity $9.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
35.5%
▼4.5
Republican Wins
32.5%
▲26.5
Democrat 50%+
17.5%
▼16.5
Democrat 45-50%
17.0%
▲2.5
Democrat 10-20%
15.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 40-45%
14.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 30-35%
14.0%
▲1.0
Democrat 20-25%
12.0%
▲1.0
Democrat 35-40%
6.50%
▼29.5
Democrat 0-10%
5.60%
▼29.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
