NY-26 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 40-45%" at 29.0% on "NY-26 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 4.5%p from yesterday. $607 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 40-45%
▲4.529%
PoliticsVol $607Total volume $7.9KLiquidity $113Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 40-45%
29.0%
▲4.5
Democrat 0-10%
17.8%
▲17.3
Democrat 35-40%
16.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 30-35%
13.0%
▼4.5
Democrat 25-30%
12.6%
–
Democrat 45-50%
8.50%
▼0.5
Republican Wins
2.30%
▼9.0
Democrat 20-25%
1.60%
–
Democrat 50%+
0.65%
–
Democrat 10-20%
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 0-10%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 45-50%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
