# of ChatGPT Outage Days in November 2026?

Polymarket traders put "4" at 46.0% on "# of ChatGPT Outage Days in November 2026?". $383 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
4
–46%
TechVol $383Total volume $383Liquidity $278in 28 days (Dec 1)
Current probability

Nov 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
4
46.0%
–
5
42.0%
–
<3
40.0%
–
3
40.0%
–
6
29.0%
–
7+
27.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.