OH-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 3%+" at 34.1% on "OH-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 29.6%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 3%+
29.634%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $316Liquidity $1.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 3%+
34.1%
29.6
Democrat 0-3%
32.0%
Democrat 9-12%
30.0%
0.5
Democrat 15-18%
29.5%
1.5
Democrat 12-15%
27.5%
1.0
Democrat 6-9%
27.5%
0.5
Democrat 21%+
26.5%
2.5
Democrat 18-21%
26.5%
3.0
Democrat 3-6%
26.5%
0.5
Republican 0-3%
4.50%
1.5

Probability over time

Republican 3%+
Democrat 0-3%
Democrat 9-12%
Democrat 15-18%
Democrat 12-15%
Democrat 6-9%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.