OH-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 50-55%" at 27.5% on "OH-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 50-55%
▲3.028%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $11KLiquidity $163Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 50-55%
27.5%
▲3.0
Democrat 45-50%
26.4%
▼0.9
Democrat 40-45%
21.1%
–
Democrat 55-60%
16.4%
▲0.9
Republican Wins
4.90%
▼2.5
Democrat 35-40%
4.50%
–
Democrat 60-65%
4.25%
–
Democrat 0-25%
2.00%
–
Democrat 65%+
1.30%
–
Democrat 25-35%
0.50%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 55-60%
Republican Wins
Democrat 35-40%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
