OH-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 0-25%" at 30.5% on "OH-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 6.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 0-25%
6.031%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.8Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 0-25%
30.5%
6.0
Democrat 50-55%
27.5%
1.0
Democrat 45-50%
24.5%
5.0
Democrat 65%+
22.0%
2.5
Democrat 40-45%
18.5%
2.0
Democrat 35-40%
18.5%
6.0
Democrat 25-35%
18.0%
1.0
Democrat 60-65%
17.5%
7.0
Democrat 55-60%
12.0%
2.5
Republican Wins
1.45%
9.3

Probability over time

Democrat 0-25%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 65%+
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 35-40%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.