OH-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 35-40%" at 35.0% on "OH-04 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 10.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 35-40%
▲10.535%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $195Liquidity $1.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 35-40%
35.0%
▲10.5
Republican 55%+
34.0%
▲9.5
Republican 45-50%
33.5%
▲8.5
Republican 30-35%
33.5%
▲8.5
Democrat Wins
31.9%
▲28.2
Republican 40-45%
31.0%
▲9.5
Republican 25-30%
29.5%
▲3.5
Republican 0-15%
29.5%
▲7.0
Republican 50-55%
29.0%
–
Republican 15-25%
21.0%
–
Probability over time
Republican 35-40%
Republican 55%+
Republican 45-50%
Republican 30-35%
Democrat Wins
Republican 40-45%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
