OH-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 30-35%" at 28.1% on "OH-04 House Election Margin of Victory". Unchanged from yesterday. $79 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 30-35%
–28%
PoliticsVol $79Total volume $18KLiquidity $120Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 30-35%
28.1%
–
Republican 35-40%
18.5%
▼0.8
Republican 25-30%
13.4%
▼6.5
Republican 40-45%
13.3%
▲3.1
Republican 15-25%
9.35%
▲1.7
Republican 50-55%
4.00%
–
Republican 45-50%
3.60%
–
Republican 55%+
1.60%
–
Republican 0-15%
1.05%
–
Democrat Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Republican 30-35%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 40-45%
Republican 15-25%
Republican 50-55%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
