OH-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 33.0% on "OH-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $179 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
▲0.533%
PoliticsVol $179Total volume $12KLiquidity $141Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
33.0%
▲0.5
Republican 15-20%
28.1%
–
Republican 10-15%
19.5%
▼2.5
Republican 30-35%
10.0%
–
Republican 0-5%
7.55%
▲0.7
Republican 25-30%
5.00%
▼0.5
Republican 35%+
4.10%
–
Republican 5-10%
3.70%
–
Democrat Wins
3.10%
▲2.7

Probability over time

Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 25-30%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.