OH-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 12%+" at 37.0% on "OH-07 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 4.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 12%+
4.537%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $813Liquidity $18Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 12%+
37.0%
4.5
Democrat 6-9%
27.0%
0.5
Democrat 9-12%
23.5%
2.5
Democrat 3-6%
19.5%
13.5
Republican 9-12%
13.5%
4.0
Democrat 0-3%
10.0%
Republican 0-3%
9.00%
4.0
Republican 6-9%
5.15%
Republican 12%+
3.85%
Republican 3-6%
3.65%
0.6

Probability over time

Democrat 12%+
Democrat 6-9%
Democrat 9-12%
Democrat 3-6%
Republican 9-12%
Democrat 0-3%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.