OH-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 12%+" at 40.6% on "OH-09 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 17.4%p from yesterday. $265 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 12%+
▲17.441%
PoliticsVol $265Total volume $7.2KLiquidity $69Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 12%+
40.6%
▲17.4
Democrat 3-6%
19.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 6-9%
17.9%
–
Democrat 9-12%
16.9%
▲1.9
Democrat 0-3%
12.5%
▲1.0
Republican 9-12%
10.2%
▲3.5
Republican 6-9%
8.25%
▲2.1
Republican 0-3%
7.00%
▼1.0
Republican 3-6%
6.00%
▼0.5
Republican 12%+
1.75%
▼2.9
Probability over time
Democrat 12%+
Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 6-9%
Democrat 9-12%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 9-12%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
