OH-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 50-55%" at 34.0% on "OH-11 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 11.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 50-55%
11.034%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $37Liquidity $2.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 50-55%
34.0%
11.0
Democrat 55-60%
32.5%
10.0
Democrat 60-65%
29.0%
2.0
Democrat 75%+
28.0%
3.0
Democrat 0-35%
26.5%
5.0
Democrat 65-70%
24.5%
2.5
Democrat 35-45%
24.5%
2.0
Democrat 45-50%
22.0%
6.5
Democrat 70-75%
18.0%
5.0
Republican Wins
5.00%
0.5

Probability over time

Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 75%+
Democrat 0-35%
Democrat 65-70%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.