OH-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 15-20%" at 32.0% on "OH-13 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.0%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 15-20%
3.032%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $22Liquidity $1.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 15-20%
32.0%
3.0
Democrat 0-5%
31.0%
1.5
Democrat 30%+
29.0%
5.5
Republican Wins
26.0%
5.5
Democrat 25-30%
25.5%
1.5
Democrat 10-15%
25.5%
1.5
Democrat 5-10%
25.5%
1.0
Democrat 20-25%
23.5%
3.5

Probability over time

Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 30%+
Republican Wins
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 10-15%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.