OH-15 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 12-15%" at 38.0% on "OH-15 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 10.5%p from yesterday. $165 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 12-15%
10.538%
PoliticsVol $165Total volume $365Liquidity $837in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Sep 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 12-15%
38.0%
10.5
Republican 9-12%
27.5%
9.0
Republican 6-9%
25.5%
4.5
Republican 3-6%
23.0%
10.5
Republican 15-18%
22.5%
10.5
Democrat 6%+
21.0%
8.0
Republican 18%+
13.0%
17.5
Republican 0-3%
10.0%
18.5
Democrat 0-3%
10.0%
11.0
Democrat 3-6%
8.00%
21.0

Probability over time

Republican 12-15%
Republican 9-12%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 3-6%
Republican 15-18%
Democrat 6%+
02550751008/269/39/49/5
2026-08-26 ~ 2026-09-05 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.