OH-15 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 3-6%" at 20.0% on "OH-15 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 3-6%
–20%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $16KLiquidity $117Kin 15 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 17 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 3-6%
20.0%
–
Republican 6-9%
18.4%
–
Republican 0-3%
17.0%
▲1.9
Republican 9-12%
16.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 0-3%
10.9%
▼1.9
Republican 12-15%
7.35%
–
Democrat 6%+
4.95%
–
Democrat 3-6%
4.65%
–
Republican 15-18%
3.45%
–
Republican 18%+
3.10%
–
Probability over time
Republican 3-6%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 0-3%
Republican 9-12%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 12-15%
2026-08-26 ~ 2026-10-17 · y-axis %
