OK-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 35.5% on "OK-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 7.5%p from yesterday. $757 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▲7.536%
PoliticsVol $757Total volume $8.7KLiquidity $47Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
35.5%
▲7.5
Republican 15-20%
33.5%
–
Republican 5-10%
14.0%
▼2.5
Republican 25-30%
13.6%
▲8.5
Republican 20-25%
12.5%
▲2.5
Republican 30%+
5.15%
–
Republican 0-5%
4.50%
–
Democrat Wins
3.55%
▼7.7
Probability over time
Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 30%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
