OK-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 40-45%" at 27.5% on "OK-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 40-45%
▼3.028%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $303Liquidity $9.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 40-45%
27.5%
▼3.0
Republican 45-50%
27.0%
▼4.0
Republican 35-40%
26.0%
▲3.0
Republican 30-35%
23.5%
▼3.5
Republican 55-60%
21.0%
▼3.5
Republican 0-20%
20.5%
▼6.5
Republican 20-30%
20.0%
▼1.0
Republican 60%+
19.5%
▼4.5
Republican 50-55%
19.5%
▼3.0
Democrat Wins
0.90%
▼11.9
Probability over time
Republican 40-45%
Republican 45-50%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 55-60%
Republican 0-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
