OK-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 40-45%" at 31.1% on "OK-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.7%p from yesterday. $302 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 40-45%
▲0.731%
PoliticsVol $302Total volume $11KLiquidity $80Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 40-45%
31.1%
▲0.7
Republican 35-40%
25.5%
▼0.5
Republican 30-35%
18.5%
▼3.0
Republican 45-50%
17.5%
▲9.0
Democrat Wins
11.5%
▲7.4
Republican 50-55%
10.7%
▲0.6
Republican 20-30%
5.45%
–
Republican 55-60%
3.95%
–
Republican 60%+
1.65%
▼0.9
Republican 0-20%
0.25%
–
Probability over time
Republican 40-45%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 45-50%
Democrat Wins
Republican 50-55%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
