OK-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 30-35%" at 29.9% on "OK-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 5.5%p from yesterday. $348 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 30-35%
▲5.530%
PoliticsVol $348Total volume $13KLiquidity $105Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 30-35%
29.9%
▲5.5
Republican 35-40%
23.0%
▼0.5
Republican 25-30%
21.6%
▲5.1
Republican 40-45%
19.0%
▲0.5
Republican 45-50%
8.40%
▼6.7
Republican 20-25%
5.30%
–
Republican 10-20%
4.95%
▲3.0
Republican 50%+
3.85%
▲2.3
Democrat Wins
0.50%
–
Republican 0-10%
0.30%
–

Probability over time

Republican 30-35%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 40-45%
Republican 45-50%
Republican 20-25%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.