OK-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 45-50%" at 30.0% on "OK-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 45-50%
▲1.530%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $249Liquidity $9.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 45-50%
30.0%
▲1.5
Republican 25-30%
26.0%
▼3.0
Republican 35-40%
24.0%
▲0.5
Republican 10-20%
23.5%
–
Republican 40-45%
23.0%
▲1.5
Republican 0-10%
22.5%
▼6.0
Republican 30-35%
21.0%
▼5.5
Republican 20-25%
21.0%
▼8.5
Republican 50%+
20.5%
▼1.0
Democrat Wins
2.25%
▼2.8
Probability over time
Republican 45-50%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 10-20%
Republican 40-45%
Republican 0-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
