OK-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 26.5% on "OK-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▲3.527%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $47Liquidity $1.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
26.5%
▲3.5
Republican 30%+
26.0%
▼0.5
Republican 10-15%
25.0%
▲1.5
Republican 0-5%
24.5%
▲2.5
Republican 25-30%
24.0%
▲4.0
Republican 5-10%
23.5%
▲2.5
Democrat Wins
20.5%
▲13.0
Republican 20-25%
19.0%
–
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 30%+
Republican 10-15%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 5-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
