OK-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 27.5% on "OK-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.0%p from yesterday. $2.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▼3.028%
PoliticsVol $2.6KTotal volume $9.5KLiquidity $51Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
27.5%
▼3.0
Republican 15-20%
23.0%
▼5.5
Republican 0-5%
16.2%
▲10.4
Republican 25-30%
6.25%
▲1.2
Democrat Wins
5.40%
▼1.1
Republican 30%+
4.60%
▲1.1
Republican 20-25%
3.55%
▼4.3
Republican 5-10%
2.00%
▼35.4
Probability over time
Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 25-30%
Democrat Wins
Republican 30%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
