Oklahoma Senate Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Kevin Hern (R)" at 97.7% on "Oklahoma Senate Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Kevin Hern (R)
–98%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $27KLiquidity $36Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Kevin Hern (R)
97.7%
–
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas (D)
1.70%
–

Probability over time

Kevin Hern (R)
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas (D)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.