Oklahoma Senate Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 21.5% on "Oklahoma Senate Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
0.522%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $2.6KLiquidity $63Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
21.5%
0.5
Republican 20-25%
19.5%
2.5
Republican 30-35%
13.0%
1.0
Republican 15-20%
12.5%
8.0
Republican 35-40%
8.50%
3.0
Republican 10-15%
8.50%
2.0
Republican 40-45%
5.65%
1.9
Democrat Wins
2.70%
1.4
Republican 45%+
2.10%
7.9
Republican 0-10%
1.60%
0.5

Probability over time

Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 10-15%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.