Oklahoma Senate Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 29.5% on "Oklahoma Senate Election Margin of Victory". $368 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
–30%
PoliticsVol $368Total volume $5.3KLiquidity $174Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
29.5%
–
Republican 20-25%
26.0%
▲0.5
Republican 30-35%
15.0%
▼0.5
Republican 15-20%
15.0%
–
Republican 10-15%
6.55%
–
Republican 35-40%
5.50%
▼0.5
Republican 40-45%
3.20%
–
Republican 0-10%
2.85%
–
Republican 45%+
1.60%
–
Democrat Wins
0.85%
–

Probability over time

Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 35-40%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.