OR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 40-45%" at 26.6% on "OR-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 4.4%p from yesterday. $501 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 40-45%
▲4.427%
PoliticsVol $501Total volume $6.8KLiquidity $107Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 40-45%
26.6%
▲4.4
Democrat 50-55%
24.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 45-50%
22.0%
▼11.0
Democrat 30-35%
15.6%
▲3.6
Democrat 55-60%
9.25%
▲1.1
Democrat 0-20%
6.00%
▼4.5
Democrat 35-40%
4.50%
▼1.1
Democrat 60%+
3.95%
–
Democrat 20-30%
0.60%
–
Republican Wins
0.55%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 0-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
