OR-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 30-35%" at 24.5% on "OR-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 30-35%
▲2.025%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $395Liquidity $13Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 30-35%
24.5%
▲2.0
Republican 40%+
23.0%
▼9.5
Republican 15-20%
20.0%
▲10.5
Republican 0-10%
20.0%
▲0.5
Republican 25-30%
16.5%
▼13.5
Republican 10-15%
16.5%
▲4.5
Republican 20-25%
11.0%
▲1.0
Republican 35-40%
8.00%
–
Democrat Wins
3.60%
▼1.4
Probability over time
Republican 30-35%
Republican 40%+
Republican 15-20%
Republican 0-10%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 10-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
