OR-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 31.5% on "OR-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 8.0%p from yesterday. $289 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
▼8.032%
PoliticsVol $289Total volume $13KLiquidity $97Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
31.5%
▼8.0
Republican 15-20%
26.0%
▼1.0
Republican 25-30%
24.9%
–
Republican 10-15%
9.15%
▲4.3
Democrat Wins
7.40%
▲2.8
Republican 30-35%
4.55%
▼1.2
Republican 40%+
2.45%
–
Republican 0-10%
1.35%
▼1.4
Republican 35-40%
1.05%
–
Probability over time
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 10-15%
Democrat Wins
Republican 30-35%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
