OR-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 50-55%" at 34.5% on "OR-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 4.0%p from yesterday. $329 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 50-55%
▲4.035%
PoliticsVol $329Total volume $17KLiquidity $124Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 50-55%
34.5%
▲4.0
Democrat 55-60%
23.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 45-50%
22.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 40-45%
11.5%
▲3.4
Democrat 65%+
7.55%
–
Democrat 35-40%
6.55%
▲2.2
Democrat 60-65%
4.50%
▼1.5
Democrat 0-25%
0.80%
–
Republican Wins
0.30%
–
Democrat 25-35%
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 65%+
Democrat 35-40%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
