OR-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 60-65%" at 30.5% on "OR-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 60-65%
▲1.531%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $2.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 60-65%
30.5%
▲1.5
Democrat 45-50%
28.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 25-35%
28.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 40-45%
26.5%
▼3.0
Democrat 55-60%
24.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 50-55%
24.5%
▲1.5
Democrat 35-40%
24.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 65%+
21.5%
–
Democrat 0-25%
21.5%
–
Republican Wins
18.6%
▲12.2
Probability over time
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 25-35%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 50-55%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
