OR-04 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Val Hoyle (D)" at 95.5% on "OR-04 House Election Winner". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $4.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Val Hoyle (D)
▲1.096%
PoliticsVol $4.2KTotal volume $32KLiquidity $148KComments 2in 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Val Hoyle (D)
95.5%
▲1.0
Monique DeSpain (R)
4.50%
–

Probability over time

Val Hoyle (D)
Monique DeSpain (R)
02550751008/259/79/159/2310/110/910/11
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.