OR-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 15-20%" at 26.0% on "OR-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 6.0%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 15-20%
▼6.026%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 15-20%
26.0%
▼6.0
Democrat 25-30%
25.5%
▼3.5
Democrat 0-5%
25.0%
▼7.5
Democrat 30%+
23.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 10-15%
23.0%
▼5.0
Republican Wins
22.5%
▼4.0
Democrat 20-25%
20.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 5-10%
20.0%
▼5.0
Probability over time
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 30%+
Democrat 10-15%
Republican Wins
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
