OR-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 28.5% on "OR-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Unchanged from yesterday. $2 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
–29%
PoliticsVol $2Total volume $7.2KLiquidity $89Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
28.5%
–
Democrat 15-20%
21.0%
–
Democrat 25-30%
15.0%
▲1.0
Democrat 10-15%
9.95%
–
Democrat 30%+
7.50%
▼0.5
Democrat 5-10%
5.00%
▼0.5
Democrat 0-5%
3.70%
–
Republican Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 30%+
Democrat 5-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
