OR-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 35%+" at 29.0% on "OR-06 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 4.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 35%+
▼4.529%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 35%+
29.0%
▼4.5
Democrat 30-35%
28.5%
▼3.0
Democrat 20-25%
28.5%
▼4.0
Democrat 25-30%
28.0%
▼7.0
Democrat 5-10%
25.5%
▼8.0
Democrat 0-5%
25.0%
▼6.5
Democrat 10-15%
23.0%
▼5.5
Democrat 15-20%
22.5%
▲0.5
Republican Wins
19.4%
▼7.5
Probability over time
Democrat 35%+
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
