Oregon Senate Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 22.5% on "Oregon Senate Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $91 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
0.523%
PoliticsVol $91Total volume $1.5KLiquidity $70Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
22.5%
0.5
Democrat 25-30%
18.0%
3.0
Democrat 15-20%
16.0%
8.5
Democrat 10-15%
10.0%
3.5
Democrat 30-35%
8.55%
4.5
Democrat 5-10%
8.50%
0.5
Democrat 35%+
3.55%
Democrat 0-5%
2.95%
22.9
Republican Wins
0.85%

Probability over time

Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 5-10%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.