Oregon Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 27.0% on "Oregon Senate Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.5%p from yesterday. $409 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▲3.527%
PoliticsVol $409Total volume $5.6KLiquidity $60Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
27.0%
▲3.5
Democrat 30-35%
27.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 25-30%
22.5%
–
Democrat 15-20%
22.0%
▲2.5
Democrat 35%+
15.2%
▲7.2
Democrat 10-15%
8.15%
▼0.9
Republican Wins
4.25%
▲0.7
Democrat 5-10%
3.90%
▼0.5
Democrat 0-5%
2.70%
▼0.9
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 35%+
Democrat 10-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
