PA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 9-12%" at 32.0% on "PA-01 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 9-12%
–32%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $239Liquidity $932in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 9-12%
32.0%
–
Democrat 12%+
29.5%
▲7.5
Democrat 3-6%
27.5%
▲4.0
Democrat 6-9%
25.5%
▼12.0
Democrat 0-3%
24.0%
▼12.5
Republican 6-9%
20.5%
▼7.0
Republican 9-12%
10.5%
–
Republican 3-6%
10.0%
–
Republican 0-3%
9.00%
▲1.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
