PA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 0-3%" at 23.0% on "PA-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 0-3%
▲2.523%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $7.0KLiquidity $128Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 0-3%
23.0%
▲2.5
Democrat 0-3%
19.1%
–
Democrat 3-6%
14.2%
–
Republican 3-6%
13.0%
▼1.0
Republican 6-9%
11.9%
–
Republican 12%+
5.50%
–
Democrat 6-9%
5.25%
–
Democrat 9-12%
4.55%
–
Republican 9-12%
3.40%
–
Democrat 12%+
2.80%
–
Probability over time
Republican 0-3%
Democrat 0-3%
Democrat 3-6%
Republican 3-6%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 12%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
