PA-04 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Madeleine Dean (D)" at 96.7% on "PA-04 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Madeleine Dean (D)
–97%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $22KLiquidity $38Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Madeleine Dean (D)
96.7%
–
Aurora Stuski (R)
3.30%
–
Probability over time
Madeleine Dean (D)
Aurora Stuski (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
