PA-05 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Mary Gay Scanlon (D)" at 98.2% on "PA-05 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Mary Gay Scanlon (D)
–98%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $37KLiquidity $39Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Mary Gay Scanlon (D)
98.2%
–
Nicholas Manganaro (R)
1.95%
–
Probability over time
Mary Gay Scanlon (D)
Nicholas Manganaro (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
