PA-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 45-50%" at 27.0% on "PA-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 9.5%p from yesterday. $111 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 45-50%
▲9.527%
PoliticsVol $111Total volume $13KLiquidity $150Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 45-50%
27.0%
▲9.5
Democrat 35-40%
20.3%
▼0.5
Democrat 40-45%
18.5%
▼4.0
Democrat 30-35%
18.0%
▲4.0
Democrat 50%+
9.50%
▼0.5
Democrat 25-30%
3.25%
▼1.2
Democrat 10-20%
1.40%
–
Democrat 20-25%
0.60%
–
Democrat 0-10%
0.60%
–
Republican Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 50%+
Democrat 25-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
