PA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 33.3% on "PA-06 House Election Margin of Victory". Unchanged from yesterday. $471 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
–33%
PoliticsVol $471Total volume $9.2KLiquidity $130Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
33.3%
–
Democrat 20-25%
31.0%
▲2.0
Democrat 15-20%
18.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 30-35%
10.1%
–
Democrat 5-10%
9.15%
▲5.5
Democrat 35%+
5.25%
▼0.7
Democrat 10-15%
4.80%
–
Democrat 0-5%
4.40%
▼0.8
Republican Wins
0.50%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 35%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
