PA-08 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Paige Cognetti (D)" at 69.5% on "PA-08 House Election Winner". $197 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Paige Cognetti (D)
–70%
PoliticsVol $197Total volume $19KLiquidity $132Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Paige Cognetti (D)
69.5%
–
Rob Bresnahan (R)
28.5%
–

Probability over time

Paige Cognetti (D)
Rob Bresnahan (R)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.