PA-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 0-3%" at 20.5% on "PA-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $96 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Democrat 0-3%
▼1.021%
PoliticsVol $96Total volume $8.8KLiquidity $163Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 0-3%
20.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 3-6%
19.5%
–
Republican 0-3%
15.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 6-9%
14.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 12%+
9.50%
–
Democrat 9-12%
5.90%
–
Republican 3-6%
5.50%
▼0.5
Republican 6-9%
1.15%
–
Republican 9-12%
1.00%
–
Republican 12%+
0.15%
–

Probability over time

Democrat 0-3%
Democrat 3-6%
Republican 0-3%
Democrat 6-9%
Democrat 12%+
Democrat 9-12%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.