PA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 32.5% on "PA-09 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 7.0%p from yesterday. $2.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
▲7.033%
PoliticsVol $2.2KTotal volume $13KLiquidity $104Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
32.5%
▲7.0
Republican 30-35%
20.0%
▲3.5
Republican 20-25%
17.6%
▼2.7
Republican 35-40%
12.9%
▲3.6
Republican 10-20%
6.40%
▼1.3
Republican 0-10%
5.50%
▼3.3
Republican 40-45%
2.65%
▼9.2
Republican 45-50%
2.45%
▼0.5
Republican 50%+
0.95%
▼6.7
Democrat Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 10-20%
Republican 0-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
