PA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 45-50%" at 31.0% on "PA-09 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 45-50%
▲0.531%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $971in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 45-50%
31.0%
▲0.5
Republican 40-45%
26.0%
▼11.0
Republican 50%+
22.5%
▼12.0
Democrat Wins
12.3%
▲9.8
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
