PA-10 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 12-15%" at 25.6% on "PA-10 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 10.2%p from yesterday. $114 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 12-15%
▲10.226%
PoliticsVol $114Total volume $11KLiquidity $69Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 12-15%
25.6%
▲10.2
Democrat 0-3%
20.5%
▲2.0
Democrat 3-6%
18.0%
▼6.4
Democrat 18%+
16.4%
▲9.3
Democrat 6-9%
15.7%
▼1.3
Republican 0-3%
11.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 9-12%
11.2%
▲3.4
Republican 3-6%
6.65%
▼0.5
Democrat 15-18%
6.00%
–
Republican 6%+
5.30%
▲4.2
Probability over time
Democrat 12-15%
Democrat 0-3%
Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 18%+
Democrat 6-9%
Republican 0-3%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
