PA-11 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Lloyd Smucker (R)" at 95.8% on "PA-11 House Election Winner". Up 0.7%p from yesterday. $6.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Lloyd Smucker (R)
▲0.796%
PoliticsVol $6.6KTotal volume $35KLiquidity $63Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Lloyd Smucker (R)
95.8%
▲0.7
Nancy Mannion (D)
3.70%
▼1.6
Probability over time
Lloyd Smucker (R)
Nancy Mannion (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
